← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Tue, Sep 23, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 57% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.29 |
| Amiens win | 19% | 5.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne +0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Amiens +0.75 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Igor Miladinović · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 55' | 🟨 | Augustine Boakye · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ilyes Hamache · Amiens |
| 77' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
| 78' | ⚽ | Lucas Stassin · AS Saint-Étienne |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 23 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade de la Licorne |
| coach days | 53.00 | 53.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1425.57 | 1570.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.68 | 30.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.30 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.59 |
| league points | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 88.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 67.00 |
| rest days | 4.02 | 3.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 2.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 1.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |