← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Thomas Leonard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 47% | 2.03 |
| Reims win | 27% | 3.58 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reims −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| AS Saint-Étienne −0.5 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Norman Bassette · Reims |
| 27' | ⚽ | Lucas Stassin · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 40' | 🟨 | N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon · Reims |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Teddy Teuma · Reims |
| 45' | ⚽ | Lucas Stassin · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 49' | ⚽ | Igor Miladinović · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 69' | ⚽ | Teddy Teuma · Reims |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ange Tia · Reims |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Akieme · Reims |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 17 |
| 10 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 26 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Saint-Étienne | Reims |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Geoffroy-Guichard |
| coach days | 50.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1562.65 | 1560.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.80 | -14.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| league points | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.80 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 61.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.96 | 1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.22 |
| state index | 0.65 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |