← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Leprodhomme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 43% | 2.36 |
| Clermont win | 29% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −0.25 | 50% | 2.03 |
| Clermont −0.25 | 50% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | 🟨 | Yoann Salmier · Clermont |
| 59' | ⚽ | Adrien Hunou · Clermont |
| 70' | 🟥 | Maximiliano Caufriez · Clermont |
| 71' | 🟨 | Tairyk Arconte · Rodez |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan Mendes Correia · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.37 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Paul-Lignon |
| coach days |
| 1023.00 |
| 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1467.15 | 1413.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.31 | 4.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 49.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| league points | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.04 | 0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |