← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 65% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.80 |
| Grenoble win | 13% | 7.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −1.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| AS Saint-Étienne −1.25 | 48% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under | 44% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Mickael Nade · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 11' | 🟨 | Samba Diba · Grenoble |
| 36' | ⚽ | Mickael Nade · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 55' | 🟨 | Loris Mouyokolo · Grenoble |
| 77' | ⚽ | Yadaly Diaby · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | João Ferreira · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 90' | 🟨 | Loris Mouyokolo · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟥 | Loris Mouyokolo · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Saint-Étienne | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Geoffroy-Guichard |
| coach days | 29.00 | 241.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1559.79 | 1426.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.42 | -37.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.75 |
| league points | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | — |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 0.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.54 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| state index | 0.56 | -1.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.18 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |