← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Aug 29, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Souifi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier win | 59% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| Amiens win | 17% | 5.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier −0.75 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Amiens −0.75 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.89 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Rayan Lutin · Amiens |
| 42' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
| 65' | 🟨 | Yael Mouanga · Montpellier |
| 70' | 🟨 | Teddy Averlant · Amiens |
| 79' | ⚽ | Teji Savanier · Montpellier |
| 80' | 🟨 | Naoufel El Hannach · Montpellier |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bećir Omeragić · Montpellier |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yvan Ikia Dimi · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Montpellier | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade de la Mosson |
| coach days | 150.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1441.66 | 1399.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.35 | -3.54 |
| eye test v1 | -1.21 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.25 | — |
| state index | -0.83 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |