← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Mon, Aug 25, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reims win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Pau FC win | 33% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Reims +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 26' | ⚽ | Omar Sissoko · Pau FC |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ras Zabi · Reims |
| 75' | 🟨 | Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa · Pau FC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Rayan Touzghar · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kylian Gasnier · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abdoul Koné · Reims |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Reims |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 24.00 | 55.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1403.67 | 1577.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.71 | -26.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.75 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 48.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.77 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 10.03 | 9.28 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.22 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |