← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Aug 22, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Gaillouste
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 39% | 2.36 |
| Nancy win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.25 | 54% | 1.87 |
| Dunkerque −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.65 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Aristide Zossou · Dunkerque |
| 10' | ⚽ | Walid Bouabdelli · Nancy |
| 23' | 🟨 | Martin Expérience · Nancy |
| 45' | ⚽ | Nicolas Saint-Ruf · Nancy |
| 49' | 🟨 | Théna Massock · Dunkerque |
| 52' | 🟨 | Allan Linguet · Dunkerque |
| 54' | ⚽ | Brandon Bokangu · Nancy |
| 70' | 🟨 | Maxence Carlier · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Marcel Tribut |
| coach days | 52.00 | 660.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1465.42 | 1325.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.76 | 10.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.23 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |