← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Aug 22, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Kubler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Amiens win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy +0 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Amiens +0 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Vincent Pajot · Annecy |
| 15' | ⚽ | Abdel Hbouch · Annecy |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Fofana · Amiens |
| 72' | 🟨 | Florian Escales · Annecy |
| 74' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
| 78' | 🟨 | Josué Tiendrebeogo · Annecy |
| 84' | 🟨 | Antoine Leautey · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟨 | Quentin Paris · Annecy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Annecy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade de la Licorne |
| coach days | 21.00 | 1574.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1409.54 | 1455.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.19 | -5.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.25 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |