← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 16, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Annecy win | 31% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Dunkerque +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Clement Billemaz · Annecy |
| 9' | 🟨 | Allan Linguet · Dunkerque |
| 16' | ⚽ | Vincent Pajot · Annecy |
| 17' | 🟨 | Ranjan Neelakandan · Annecy |
| 30' | ⚽ | Clement Billemaz · Annecy |
| 45' | ⚽ | Anto Sekongo · Dunkerque |
| 52' | ⚽ | Gessime Yassine · Dunkerque |
| 60' | 🟨 | Francois Lajugie · Annecy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thibault Delphis · Annecy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Gérard |
| coach days | 1568.00 | 46.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1456.73 | 1463.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.47 | -1.07 |
| eye test v1 | -1.30 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 6.75 | 6.75 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |