← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Fri, Aug 15, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Leleu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 50% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
| Amiens win | 23% | 4.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star −0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Amiens −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Teddy Averlant · Amiens |
| 41' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
| 50' | ⚽ | Teddy Averlant · Amiens |
| 55' | ⚽ | Damien Durand · Red Star |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Fofana · Amiens |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ryad Hachem · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hacene Benali · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yvan Ikia Dimi · Amiens |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yvan Ikia Dimi · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 26 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Bauer |
| coach days | 410.00 | 14.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1386.85 | 1416.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.09 | -2.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 3.97 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |