← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 9, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Leprodhomme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 39% | 2.42 |
| Annecy win | 31% | 3.19 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Pau FC −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Josué Tiendrebeogo · Annecy |
| 8' | ⚽ | Daylam Meddah · Pau FC |
| 42' | 🟨 | Tom Pouilly · Pau FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Josué Tiendrebeogo · Annecy |
| 45' | 🟥 | Josué Tiendrebeogo · Annecy |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Omar Sadik · Pau FC |
| 82' | 🟨 | Daylam Meddah · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Annecy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 8.00 | 1561.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1383.71 | 1472.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.97 | 25.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.84 | -1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |