← Ligue 2 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 9, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Laval win | 32% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne +0 | 55% | 1.83 |
| Laval +0 | 45% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Malik Tchokounte · Laval |
| 25' | 🟨 | Théo Pellenard · Laval |
| 27' | ⚽ | Irvin Cardona · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 35' | ⚽ | Augustine Boakye · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Malik Tchokounte · Laval |
| 51' | ⚽ | Benjamin Old · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 87' | ⚽ | Ethan Clavreul · Laval |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aymeric Faurand-Tournaire · Laval |
| 90' | 🟥 | Théo Pellenard · Laval |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| coach days | 2231.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1471.69 | 1540.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.24 | 13.79 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 86.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |