← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, May 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Red Star win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Red Star +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.98 |
| Under | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Muhannad Al Saad · Dunkerque |
| 13' | ⚽ | Damien Durand · Red Star |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pierre Lemonnier · Red Star |
| 48' | 🟨 | Joachim Eickmayer · Red Star |
| 67' | 🟨 | Allan Linguet · Dunkerque |
| 78' | 🟨 | Allan Linguet · Dunkerque |
| 78' | 🟥 | Allan Linguet · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stade de Paris |
| coach days |
| 313.00 |
| 617.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1366.31 | 1463.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.45 | -19.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| league points | 38.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | 1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.74 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.03 | 1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |