← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, May 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Gaillouste
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 51% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.99 |
| Pau FC win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Pau FC +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Pathé Mboup · Pau FC |
| 40' | ⚽ | Rayan Ghrieb · Guingamp |
| 43' | ⚽ | Antoine Mille · Pau FC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Pathé Mboup · Pau FC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Bingourou Kamara · Pau FC |
| 53' | 🟥 | Pathé Mboup · Pau FC |
| 56' | ⚽ | Hugo Picard · Guingamp |
| 66' | 🟨 | Kalidou Sidibe · Guingamp |
| 81' | ⚽ | Amadou Sagna · Guingamp |
| 85' | 🟨 | Hugo Picard · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days |
| 1774.00 |
| 374.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1396.84 | 1500.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.53 | -32.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.91 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| league points | 42.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |