← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, May 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Buquet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 71% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.33 |
| Ajaccio win | 11% | 9.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −1.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Paris FC −1.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 47' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Everson Junior · Ajaccio |
| 66' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days |
| 709.00 |
| 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 3.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1590.11 | 1421.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.22 | 6.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.00 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.89 |
| league points | 72.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.06 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.44 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.68 | — |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.07 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |