← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, May 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Lissorgue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 73% | 1.31 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.75 |
| Martigues win | 10% | 10.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Martigues −1.75 | 52% | 1.90 |
| FC Lorient −1.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 1.39 |
| Under | 30% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Darlin Yongwa · FC Lorient |
| 45' | ⚽ | Eli Junior Kroupi · FC Lorient |
| 51' | 🟨 | Steve Solvet · Martigues |
| 58' | ⚽ | Karim Tlilli · Martigues |
| 63' | ⚽ | Sambou Soumano · FC Lorient |
| 65' | ⚽ | Eli Junior Kroupi · FC Lorient |
| 66' | 🟨 | Eli Junior Kroupi · FC Lorient |
| 87' | ⚽ | Jean-Victor Makengo · FC Lorient |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sambou Soumano · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 6 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Martigues |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat |
| coach days |
| 343.00 |
| 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1622.05 | 1396.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.64 | 0.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.84 |
| league points | 74.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.39 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.39 | — |
| state index | 0.86 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |