← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, May 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Millot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Metz win | 25% | 3.80 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Metz −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Morgan Bokele Mputu · Metz |
| 45' | 🟨 | Thibault Vargas · Laval |
| 67' | 🟨 | Joseph N'Duquidi · Metz |
| 69' | ⚽ | Malik Sellouki · Laval |
| 70' | ⚽ | Thibault Vargas · Laval |
| 83' | 🟨 | Théo Pellenard · Laval |
| 86' | ⚽ | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz |
| 89' | ⚽ | Idrissa Gueye · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| 2140.00 |
| 313.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1480.22 | 1591.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.15 | -21.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | 1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.70 | 67.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 54.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 88.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 65.60 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 1.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.52 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | 1.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |