← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, May 2, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 59% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.20 |
| Rodez win | 19% | 5.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −1 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Metz −1 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.49 |
| Under | 36% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Aboubacar Lô · Metz |
| 47' | 🟨 | Mohamed Bouchouari · Rodez |
| 65' | ⚽ | Timothee Nkada · Rodez |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Gauthier Hein · Metz |
| 73' | ⚽ | Tawfik Bentayeb · Rodez |
| 77' | 🟨 | Tawfik Bentayeb · Rodez |
| 80' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Baldé · Rodez |
| 82' | 🟨 | Abdel Hakim Abdallah · Rodez |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz |
| 87' | ⚽ | Ablie Jallow · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 7 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Saint-Symphorien |
| 305.00 |
| 883.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 3.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1596.87 | 1468.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.10 | -7.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.60 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.66 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.61 |
| league points | 64.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.94 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.59 | — |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.62 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |