← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, May 2, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 55% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Martigues win | 20% | 4.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Martigues +0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Nathanaël Saintini · Martigues |
| 38' | 🟨 | Thibault De Smet · Paris FC |
| 49' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · Paris FC |
| 59' | ⚽ | Oualid Orinel · Martigues |
| 90' | 🟨 | Steve Solvet · Martigues |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Martigues | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Francis Turcan |
| coach days |
| 121.00 |
| 701.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1392.79 | 1593.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.24 | 22.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.64 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.68 |
| league points | 31.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 2.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | — | 27.95 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 1.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |