← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, May 2, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Kubler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Amiens win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Amiens +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
| 17' | ⚽ | Antoine Leautey · Amiens |
| 24' | ⚽ | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
| 33' | ⚽ | Therence Koudou · Pau FC |
| 47' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Pau FC |
| 67' | ⚽ | Mamady Bangré · Pau FC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
| 86' | ⚽ | Malick Mbaye · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne |
| 671.00 |
| 1766.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 4.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.28 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1389.35 | 1410.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.50 | 19.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| league points | 40.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.20 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |