← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, May 2, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 56% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
| Ajaccio win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient +0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Ajaccio +0.75 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Julien Anziani · Ajaccio |
| 42' | 🟨 | Formose Mendy · FC Lorient |
| 68' | ⚽ | Ben Touré · Ajaccio |
| 80' | 🟨 | Gedeon Kalulu · FC Lorient |
| 84' | ⚽ | Pablo Pagis · FC Lorient |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jesah Ayessa · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mohamed Bamba · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel-Moretti |
| coach days |
| 121.00 |
| 335.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.29 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 3.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.75 |
| elo | 1406.92 | 1636.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.08 | 22.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| league points | 43.00 | 74.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 2.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.49 |
| state index | -0.42 | 1.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |