← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 26, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Pau FC win | 22% | 4.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz +0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Pau FC +0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.54 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 51' | 🟨 | Alpha Touré · Metz |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ismaël Traoré · Metz |
| 73' | ⚽ | Pathé Mboup · Pau FC |
| 79' | ⚽ | Pape Diallo · Metz |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ibou Sane · Metz |
| 81' | 🟨 | Aboubacar Lô · Metz |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Tairyk Arconte · Pau FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Antoine Mille · Pau FC |
| 87' | 🟨 | Kevin Van Den Kerkhof · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| 1760.00 |
| 299.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.32 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1395.96 | 1611.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.35 | 6.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 69.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| league points | 39.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 62.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | 1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | — | 24.86 |
| state index | -0.73 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 1.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |