← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 26, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 78% | 1.22 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.66 |
| Caen win | 7% | 14.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient −1.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Caen −1.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Julien Laporte · FC Lorient |
| 16' | ⚽ | Mohamed Bamba · FC Lorient |
| 23' | ⚽ | Eli Junior Kroupi · FC Lorient |
| 44' | 🟨 | Yann M'Vila · Caen |
| 78' | ⚽ | Sambou Soumano · FC Lorient |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sambou Soumano · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat |
| coach days |
| 329.00 |
| 84.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1632.41 | 1331.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.76 | -21.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.57 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| league points | 71.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 4.97 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 2.15 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.76 | — |
| state index | 1.10 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |