← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 26, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Gaillouste
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Rodez win | 30% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Paris FC +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Vincent Marchetti · Paris FC |
| 41' | 🟨 | Mory Diaw · Rodez |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Baldé · Rodez |
| 65' | 🟨 | Wilitty Younoussa · Rodez |
| 76' | 🟨 | Julien López · Paris FC |
| 78' | ⚽ | Tawfik Bentayeb · Rodez |
| 83' | 🟨 | Lohann Doucet · Paris FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Julien López · Paris FC |
| 90' | 🟥 | Julien López · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days |
| 877.00 |
| 695.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.85 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1466.29 | 1595.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.72 | 5.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.60 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| league points | 42.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 63.60 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 2.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | 1.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | — | 28.52 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |