← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Leleu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Clermont win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Clermont +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Damien Durand · Red Star |
| 22' | 🟨 | Johan Gastien · Clermont |
| 45' | 🟨 | Aliou Badji · Red Star |
| 51' | 🟨 | Bissenty Mendy · Red Star |
| 58' | ⚽ (pen) | Famara Diédhiou · Clermont |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade de Paris |
| coach days |
| 298.00 |
| 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1366.92 | 1383.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.77 | -39.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | — |
| league points | 36.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 86.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.61 | -1.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.07 | 0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |