← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Rosier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 68% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.19 |
| Martigues win | 12% | 8.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −1.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Martigues −1.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Severin Sabri Guendouz · Guingamp |
| 38' | ⚽ | Brighton Labeau · Guingamp |
| 47' | ⚽ | Rayan Ghrieb · Guingamp |
| 56' | ⚽ | Oucasse Mendy · Martigues |
| 64' | 🟨 | Steve Solvet · Martigues |
| 75' | 🟨 | Simon Falette · Martigues |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Martigues |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days |
| 359.00 |
| 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1497.46 | 1398.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.17 | 15.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.61 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| league points | 54.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.29 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.08 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |