← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Lissorgue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 66% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.61 |
| Grenoble win | 13% | 7.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −1.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Bastia −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Gustave Akueson · Bastia |
| 33' | ⚽ | Theo Valls · Grenoble |
| 34' | ⚽ | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 77' | ⚽ | Ayoub Jabbari · Grenoble |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ayoub Jabbari · Grenoble |
| 88' | ⚽ | Lamine Cissé · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Shaquil Delos · Grenoble |
| 90' | ⚽ | Eddy Sylvestre · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days |
| 328.00 |
| 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.51 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1480.69 | 1422.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.78 | -10.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.51 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 66.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.81 |
| league points | 45.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |