← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Ajaccio win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 58' | 🟨 | Clement Vidal · Ajaccio |
| 62' | 🟨 | Axel Bamba · Ajaccio |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Kapitbafan Djoco · Annecy |
| 63' | 🟨 | Thomas Mangani · Ajaccio |
| 74' | ⚽ | Quentin Paris · Annecy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Arsène Kouassi · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days |
| 1455.00 |
| 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1460.48 | 1417.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.09 | -3.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.98 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| league points | 51.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 3.97 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.67 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |