← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 19, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Batta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Bastia win | 25% | 3.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Paris FC −0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Alimami Gory · Paris FC |
| 20' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · Paris FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Maxime López · Paris FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 68' | 🟨 | Amine Boutrah · Bastia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Johny Placide · Bastia |
| 87' | 🟥 | Gustave Akueson · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days |
| 688.00 |
| 322.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1590.34 | 1486.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.66 | 26.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| league points | 67.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 6.75 | 4.72 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.09 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.75 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 28.47 | — |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.24 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |