← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 18, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 61% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.55 |
| Martigues win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Martigues −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Caen −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Steve Solvet · Martigues |
| 17' | ⚽ | Oucasse Mendy · Martigues |
| 34' | 🟨 | Akim Djaha · Martigues |
| 50' | ⚽ | Milan Robin · Martigues |
| 53' | 🟨 | Oucasse Mendy · Martigues |
| 58' | 🟨 | Didí Gaucho · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Martigues |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days |
| 76.00 |
| 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1350.76 | 1379.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.59 | -10.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.81 |
| league points | 21.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.66 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| state index | -1.00 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |