← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 18, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
| Amiens win | 21% | 4.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens +0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Guingamp +0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Malick Mbaye · Amiens |
| 21' | ⚽ | Rayan Ghrieb · Guingamp |
| 35' | 🟨 | Lebogang Phiri · Guingamp |
| 36' | ⚽ (pen) | Antoine Leautey · Amiens |
| 51' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Fofana · Amiens |
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Jacques Siwe · Guingamp |
| 74' | ⚽ | Siaka Bakayoko · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne |
| coach days |
| 657.00 |
| 352.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1383.74 | 1509.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.01 | 9.51 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | 0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| league points | 37.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | 1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.40 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |