← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Mon, Apr 14, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.86 |
| Laval win | 18% | 5.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Laval −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Williams Kokolo · Laval |
| 13' | ⚽ | Amine Boutrah · Bastia |
| 16' | ⚽ | Malik Sellouki · Laval |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 53' | 🟨 | Mamadou Samassa · Laval |
| 60' | ⚽ | Felix Tomi · Bastia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jimmy Roye · Laval |
| 69' | ⚽ | Lamine Cissé · Bastia |
| 72' | 🟨 | Titouan Thomas · Laval |
| 81' | ⚽ | Titouan Thomas · Laval |
| 83' | ⚽ | Christ Inao Oulaï · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.85 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| 317.00 |
| 2114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.63 | 1.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1471.41 | 1478.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.02 | -11.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| league points | 42.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 10.03 | 10.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |