← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Abed
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 52% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Grenoble win | 23% | 4.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Grenoble +0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Samir Sophian Chergui · Paris FC |
| 57' | 🟨 | Adama Camara · Paris FC |
| 63' | 🟨 | Thibault De Smet · Paris FC |
| 65' | 🟨 | Maxime López · Paris FC |
| 67' | ⚽ | Mattheo Xantippe · Grenoble |
| 69' | 🟨 | Alimami Gory · Paris FC |
| 77' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days |
| 101.00 |
| 681.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1441.42 | 1582.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.37 | 10.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.10 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.65 |
| league points | 41.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 86.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 64.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 2.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 1.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | — | 27.69 |
| state index | -0.32 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |