← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Léonard
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.76 |
| Guingamp win | 24% | 4.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient +0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Guingamp +0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Pablo Pagis · FC Lorient |
| 54' | ⚽ | Rayan Ghrieb · Guingamp |
| 60' | ⚽ | Eli Junior Kroupi · FC Lorient |
| 62' | ⚽ | Eli Junior Kroupi · FC Lorient |
| 72' | 🟨 | Dylan Louiserre · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Igor Silva · FC Lorient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Julien Ponceau · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days |
| 346.00 |
| 315.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.35 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.75 |
| elo | 1517.92 | 1627.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.35 | 20.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.99 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 54.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 4.72 | 6.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 2.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.13 | 0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.22 |
| state index | 0.37 | 1.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |