← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 11, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.86 |
| Caen win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Caen −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 47' | ⚽ | Timothee Nkada · Rodez |
| 58' | 🟨 | Ahmad Toure Ngouyamsa · Rodez |
| 60' | ⚽ | Noe Lebreton · Caen |
| 80' | 🟨 | Till Cissokho · Rodez |
| 82' | ⚽ | Godson Kyeremeh · Caen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jules Gaudin · Caen |
| 90' | 🟥 | Mickaël Le Bihan · Caen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Baldé · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| 862.00 |
| 69.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.63 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1479.95 | 1345.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.20 | -1.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.70 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 41.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.95 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |