← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 11, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Kubler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 48% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Annecy win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Red Star −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Quentin Paris · Annecy |
| 18' | 🟨 | Samuel Renel · Red Star |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sidi Bane · Annecy |
| 67' | 🟨 | Joachim Eickmayer · Red Star |
| 67' | 🟨 | Quentin Paris · Annecy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 5 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Annecy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade de Paris |
| coach days |
| 284.00 |
| 1441.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1369.14 | 1447.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.73 | -31.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| league points | 35.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.84 | -1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.25 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |