← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 11, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Chapapria
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 48% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
| Clermont win | 26% | 3.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Pau FC −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Henri Saivet · Clermont |
| 43' | ⚽ | Pathé Mboup · Pau FC |
| 46' | ⚽ | Maïdine Douane · Clermont |
| 55' | 🟨 | Yohann Magnin · Clermont |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Pau FC |
| 68' | 🟨 | Allan Ackra · Clermont |
| 75' | 🟨 | Yoann Salmier · Clermont |
| 90' | ⚽ | Antoine Mille · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 7 |
| 11 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days |
| 1745.00 |
| 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.43 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1394.68 | 1414.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.94 | -35.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 37.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.85 | -1.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |