← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 11, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Leleu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 65% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.50 |
| Martigues win | 14% | 7.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Martigues +1.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Metz +1.25 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Pape Diallo · Metz |
| 13' | ⚽ | Karim Tlilli · Martigues |
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Gauthier Hein · Metz |
| 21' | 🟨 | Nathanaël Saintini · Martigues |
| 35' | ⚽ (pen) | Gauthier Hein · Metz |
| 51' | 🟨 | Francois Kembolo Luyeye · Martigues |
| 79' | 🟨 | Leandro Morante · Martigues |
| 81' | ⚽ | Ablie Jallow · Metz |
| 83' | 🟨 | Matthieu Udol · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Martigues | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Francis Turcan |
| coach days |
| 100.00 |
| 284.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.27 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1389.45 | 1608.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.61 | 22.69 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 71.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.87 | 0.75 |
| league points | 28.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | 1.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 26.07 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.74 | 1.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |