← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Mon, Apr 7, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Dunkerque win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Dunkerque +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Théo Le Bris · Guingamp |
| 41' | 🟨 | Alec Georgen · Dunkerque |
| 51' | 🟨 | Lenny Vallier · Guingamp |
| 69' | ⚽ | Gessime Yassine · Dunkerque |
| 75' | 🟥 | Donatien Gomis · Guingamp |
| 82' | ⚽ | Abdoullah Ba · Dunkerque |
| 88' | 🟨 | Abdoullah Ba · Dunkerque |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Yacine Bammou · Guingamp |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marco Essimi · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days |
| 584.00 |
| 341.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1467.47 | 1533.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.50 | 23.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 1.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| league points | 51.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 86.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 9.99 | 8.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.27 | 1.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 8.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.80 |
| state index | -0.44 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.26 | 0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |