← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 4, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 68% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.95 |
| Clermont win | 11% | 8.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC −1.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Clermont −1.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Mathieu Cafaro · Paris FC |
| 50' | 🟨 | Damien Da Silva · Clermont |
| 51' | ⚽ | Moustapha Mbow · Paris FC |
| 66' | 🟨 | Damien Da Silva · Clermont |
| 66' | 🟥 | Damien Da Silva · Clermont |
| 81' | 🟨 | Moustapha Mbow · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days |
| 673.00 |
| 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1575.89 | 1420.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.71 | -42.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.78 |
| league points | 61.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 3.97 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 2.03 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.64 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.85 | — |
| state index | 0.49 | -1.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.40 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |