← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 4, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
| Annecy win | 26% | 3.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Annecy +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.54 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Ahmed Kashi · Annecy |
| 12' | ⚽ | Quentin Paris · Annecy |
| 39' | 🟨 | Vincent Pajot · Annecy |
| 45' | 🟥 | Clement Billemaz · Annecy |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ismaelo Ganiou · Annecy |
| 58' | ⚽ | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 13 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days |
| 1434.00 |
| 307.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1448.83 | 1470.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -49.08 | -2.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| league points | 46.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| state index | -1.11 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |