← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 4, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Millot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Amiens win | 24% | 4.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Amiens −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Thomas Monconduit · Amiens |
| 18' | 🟨 | Malick Mbaye · Amiens |
| 23' | ⚽ | Aboubakary Kanté · Ajaccio |
| 28' | 🟨 | Arsène Kouassi · Ajaccio |
| 31' | ⚽ | Malick Mbaye · Amiens |
| 40' | 🟨 | Matthieu Huard · Ajaccio |
| 76' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
| 78' | ⚽ | Everson Junior · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel-Moretti |
| coach days |
| 93.00 |
| 643.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1407.00 | 1379.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.90 | -5.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 37.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.94 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |