← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Mon, Mar 31, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Rosier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 65% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.55 |
| Caen win | 15% | 7.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Paris FC −1.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Timothée Kolodziejczak · Paris FC |
| 27' | 🟨 | Valentin Henry · Caen |
| 32' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC |
| 44' | ⚽ | Mathieu Cafaro · Paris FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alex Moucketou-Moussounda · Caen |
| 54' | 🟨 | Noe Lebreton · Caen |
| 60' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC |
| 82' | ⚽ | Godson Kyeremeh · Caen |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Mathys Tourraine · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days |
| 669.00 |
| 58.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1571.04 | 1345.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.11 | -6.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| league points | 58.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 16.24 | 16.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.43 | 0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.06 | — |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.41 | 1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |