← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 29, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Buquet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 56% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 |
| Laval win | 18% | 5.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.75 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Laval −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
| 30' | ⚽ | Hugo Picard · Guingamp |
| 32' | 🟨 | Malik Tchokounte · Laval |
| 70' | 🟨 | Christ-Owen Kouassi · Laval |
| 72' | 🟨 | Christ-Owen Kouassi · Laval |
| 72' | 🟥 | Christ-Owen Kouassi · Laval |
| 90' | 🟨 | Moise Adilehou · Laval |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days |
| 332.00 |
| 2098.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 1.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1521.46 | 1504.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.87 | 8.95 |
| eye test v1 | 1.42 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| league points | 51.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 14.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.16 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | -0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |