← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 29, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Kubler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 59% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 |
| Grenoble win | 17% | 5.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +1 | 53% | 1.83 |
| FC Lorient +1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Eli Junior Kroupi · FC Lorient |
| 17' | ⚽ | Eli Junior Kroupi · FC Lorient |
| 36' | ⚽ | Ayoub Jabbari · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 4 | Shots | 20 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days |
| 87.00 |
| 301.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1434.69 | 1613.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.52 | -0.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | 0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | — |
| league points | 38.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 14.75 | 13.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 2.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | 1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.29 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |