← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 28, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Rodez win | 36% | 2.66 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Red Star +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ (og) | Nolan Galves · Red Star |
| 32' | 🟨 | Till Cissokho · Rodez |
| 34' | 🟨 | Nolan Galves · Rodez |
| 43' | 🟨 | Ryad Hachem · Red Star |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ahmad Toure Ngouyamsa · Rodez |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Timothee Nkada · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade de Paris |
| coach days |
| 270.00 |
| 848.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 3.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1359.15 | 1475.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.27 | 31.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 67.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| league points | 32.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | -0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |