← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 28, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 46% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.37 |
| Annecy win | 26% | 3.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy −0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Pau FC −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.89 |
| Over | 48% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Anthony Bermont · Annecy |
| 36' | 🟨 | Axel Drouhin · Annecy |
| 56' | 🟨 | Clement Billemaz · Annecy |
| 83' | 🟨 | Antoine Mille · Pau FC |
| 89' | ⚽ | Mehdi Chahiri · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josué Tiendrebeogo · Annecy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Annecy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| 1731.00 |
| 1427.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.20 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1391.14 | 1459.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.65 | -34.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| league points | 34.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.74 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |