← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 15, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Dunkerque win | 28% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Dunkerque +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz |
| 39' | 🟨 | Naatan Skyttä · Dunkerque |
| 54' | ⚽ | Diogo Queirós · Dunkerque |
| 72' | ⚽ | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anto Sekongo · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Morgan Bokele Mputu · Metz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Urie-Michel Mboula · Metz |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Sadibou Sané · Dunkerque |
| 90' | ⚽ | Morgan Bokele Mputu · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days |
| 561.00 |
| 257.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1489.61 | 1595.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.24 | 27.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 68.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.82 |
| league points | 51.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.00 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 4.72 | 6.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.62 | 1.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.89 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.47 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |