← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 14, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Martigues win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Martigues +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Karim Tlilli · Martigues |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Pau FC |
| 50' | ⚽ | Kandet Diawara · Pau FC |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Khalid Boutaïb · Pau FC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Pathé Mboup · Pau FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Kandet Diawara · Pau FC |
| 85' | ⚽ | Karim Tlilli · Martigues |
| 89' | 🟨 | Oumar Ngom · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Martigues | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Francis Turcan |
| coach days |
| 72.00 |
| 1717.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 4.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1383.08 | 1389.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.89 | -45.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.90 | 0.73 |
| league points | 24.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.43 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |