← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 14, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Grenoble win | 28% | 3.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Grenoble −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Theo Valls · Grenoble |
| 71' | 🟨 | Habib Keita · Clermont |
| 74' | 🟨 | Mamadou Diarra · Grenoble |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mattheo Xantippe · Grenoble |
| 87' | 🟨 | Loris Mouyokolo · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | Johan Gastien · Clermont |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Gabriel-Montpied |
| coach days |
| 133.00 |
| 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1425.27 | 1433.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.02 | 3.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.80 |
| league points | 28.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| state index | -1.38 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |